Mailing List lml@lancaironline.net Message #49402
From: <vtailjeff@aol.com>
Sender: <marv@lancaironline.net>
Subject: Re: [LML] Re: Safety in our Community of Lancairs
Date: Sat, 08 Nov 2008 10:10:45 -0500
To: <lml@lancaironline.net>
Kevin,

I am not saying anything. I am just doing the math. Once I have finished the math I will let everyone know... I did address the hour thing in the other graph. Put the two together and you have a picture. Private pilot + low time in type= higher risk of accident.

I agree that training reduces accidents.  As I said earlier in my ten recommendations to become a safer pilot is if you are going to spend the money training you might as well get a new rating. ;)

Jeff


-----Original Message-----
From: Kevin Stallard <Kevin@arilabs.net>
To: lml@lancaironline.net
Sent: Fri, 7 Nov 2008 5:37 pm
Subject: [LML] Re: Safety in our Community of Lancairs

Jeff,
 
>While Private Pilot certificates comprise 35% of total U.S. pilot population.
>Private pilots account for almost 55% of the Lancair accident population and 48% of the GA accident population
 
I think you are trying to say is “If you only have a Private Pilot certificate, you are more likely to have an accident.”  And that you probably mean to imply
that if you hold some other advanced rating, that you have a less chance of having an accident.
 
The propblem is (at least for me) is that 100% of GA accidents are caused by, well,  pilots, and half of those accidents (or thereabouts) are caused by folks with higher ratings than a private pilot (according to your numbers).
 
I’m not convienced that a rating is the thing that is indicative of the likely hood of an having an accident, however, I think that the amount of practice and training are, and unfortunalty ratings don’t accuratly reflect this quantity.  However, a logbook usually does.   Maybe that’s were we need to look.
 
Kevin
 
 
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