Morning Gary, I guess my main concern was simply to attribute an accident from a grainy video to a finite control input is probably not sound "cause of crash" assessment technique.  There is simply too many variables here to finitly say what caused this crash. I'm certainly not rejecting the possibility, but I wouldn't limit it to that possibility either. The misalignment of the a/c with it's direction of flight is certainly interesting but does not eliminate a single engine [right failed]/ VMCA possibility, I've seen video in the past of similar approaches where due to camera angle it looks very missaligned but in reality is probably much less so. I noticed the smoke did not drift so there was limited wind on the field at least in the vertical range shown by the camera, this would lead me to think a tailwind turn was not likely a contribution to the crash. 

 

Something else I'd like to mention... I did not intent to project the " I'm so good" personna. Although I've some reasonable experiance and training, I'm no 'mind boggling' pilot, nor would I like to project that I am [if that was the case, ie; interpereted from my prior comments]. In the end we're all human and we can get into senarios where we never thought we'd get.. seeing them for what they are becoming is the name of the game in accident avoidance but it doesn't always stop us from getting there, I've scared the crap out of myself a couple times and was just lucky enough to live through and learn from it.

 

Btw, I'm w/ you on the rounded base/final turn, it makes for a smoother approach/landing and I find one can spot the possible overshoot much earlier [and adjust] in the larger turn vs a short/tight turn to final. 

 

Best Regards

 

Jarrett Johnson