Mailing List flyrotary@lancaironline.net Message #22963
From: Jack Ford <jackoford@theofficenet.com>
Subject: Re: [FlyRotary] Re: [Fwd: COZY: Rotary risks]
Date: Thu, 2 Jun 2005 08:12:08 -0700
To: Rotary motors in aircraft <flyrotary@lancaironline.net>
He didn't post to this list, Buly cross-posted it from the Cozy list.
 
Al doesn't run off at the mouth.
 
When he posts his findings, I'll cross-post if Buly doesn't.
 
He just may have something to add to our thought processes. And yes, he is a cold-blooded analyst (I like that in a person).
 
Jack Ford
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Thursday, June 02, 2005 7:53 AM
Subject: [FlyRotary] Re: [Fwd: COZY: Rotary risks]

 Re: Al Wick
The information on his Website is sensible, what he posted on our site doesn't seem to be written by the same guy! Maybe he was having a bad day, annalists usually give a reason for there findings.
Georges B.
 
-------Original Message-------
 
Date: 06/02/05 06:14:49
Subject: [FlyRotary] Re: [Fwd: COZY: Rotary risks]
 
I think you folks are being to hard on Al Wick.  He apparently
makes his living doing risk analysis; and like the workman
who has only one tool - say, a hammer - everything looks
like a nail.  The problem with his analysis is the same as
with all statistical analysis: (1) how one selects the data
to be used, (2) grouping unlike samples together, and (3)
generalizing from too small a sample.
 
Since - at this point - every installation is in some way
unique, the failure *rates* are meaningless.  One can pretty
much ignore his pronouncements - except as they apply to
specific components, rather than the whole system.
 
Dale R.
 
Dale Mahan <dalemahan@charter.net> wrote:
>
> Bob White wrote:
>
> >I've got facts that might save your life.  You guys are taking a lot of
> >risks.  I know what they are, but I'm too busy to tell you right now.
> >
> >Give me a break!
> >
> >Bob W.
> >
[Huge Snip]
>
> Yeah, I'm out to save lives too, but I don't have the time - nice
> thoughts.  When do I attain "true enlightenment"  from the single source
> of "vast eternal kozmik trooths" about the risks of rotary engines?  I
> can hardly wait, but the "guru" doesn't have the time.
>
> Best,
>
> Dale
 
 
 
 
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