X-Virus-Scanned: clean according to Sophos on Logan.com Return-Path: Sender: To: lml@lancaironline.net Date: Fri, 07 Nov 2008 18:37:36 -0500 Message-ID: X-Original-Return-Path: Received: from [69.146.254.20] (HELO arilabs.net) by logan.com (CommuniGate Pro SMTP 5.2.9) with ESMTP id 3275188 for lml@lancaironline.net; Thu, 06 Nov 2008 19:31:53 -0500 Received-SPF: none receiver=logan.com; client-ip=69.146.254.20; envelope-from=Kevin@arilabs.net Content-class: urn:content-classes:message MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: multipart/mixed; boundary="----_=_NextPart_001_01C94070.25DE3D88" Subject: [LML] Re: Safety in our Community of Lancairs X-MimeOLE: Produced By Microsoft Exchange V6.5 X-Original-Date: Thu, 6 Nov 2008 17:31:16 -0700 X-Original-Message-ID: <7141427652BB3049A7DBF1084B67805B1E2BF6@penumbra.arilabs.net> X-MS-Has-Attach: yes X-MS-TNEF-Correlator: Thread-Topic: [LML] Re: Safety in our Community of Lancairs Thread-Index: AclAbRvLn5zfPSqXReiJdTC4AosyKQAANW3g From: "Kevin Stallard" X-Original-To: "Lancair Mailing List" This is a multi-part message in MIME format. ------_=_NextPart_001_01C94070.25DE3D88 Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----_=_NextPart_002_01C94070.25DE3D88" ------_=_NextPart_002_01C94070.25DE3D88 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable Jeff, =20 >While Private Pilot certificates comprise 35% of total U.S. pilot population.=20 >Private pilots account for almost 55% of the Lancair accident population and 48% of the GA accident population =20 I think you are trying to say is "If you only have a Private Pilot certificate, you are more likely to have an accident." And that you probably mean to imply=20 that if you hold some other advanced rating, that you have a less chance of having an accident. =20 The propblem is (at least for me) is that 100% of GA accidents are caused by, well, pilots, and half of those accidents (or thereabouts) are caused by folks with higher ratings than a private pilot (according to your numbers). =20 I'm not convienced that a rating is the thing that is indicative of the likely hood of an having an accident, however, I think that the amount of practice and training are, and unfortunalty ratings don't accuratly reflect this quantity. However, a logbook usually does. Maybe that's were we need to look. =20 Kevin =20 =20 ------_=_NextPart_002_01C94070.25DE3D88 Content-Type: text/html; charset="us-ascii" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable

Jeff,

>While Private Pilot = certificates comprise 35% of total U.S. pilot population.

>Private pilots account for = almost 55% of the Lancair accident population and 48% of the GA accident = population

I think you are trying to say is = “If you only have a Private Pilot certificate, you are more likely to have = an accident.” And that you probably mean to imply =

that if you hold some other = advanced rating, that you have a less chance of having an = accident.

The propblem is (at least for me) = is that 100% of GA accidents are caused by, well, pilots, and half of = those accidents (or thereabouts) are caused by folks with higher ratings than = a private pilot (according to your numbers).

I’m not convienced that a = rating is the thing that is indicative of the likely hood of an having an = accident, however, I think that the amount of practice and training are, and = unfortunalty ratings don’t accuratly reflect this quantity. However, a = logbook usually does. Maybe that’s were we need to = look.

Kevin

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