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Date: Wed, 20 Dec 2006 15:57:05 -0500
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From: "Hamid A. Wasti" <hwasti@starband.net>
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Subject: Re: ***Possible Spam*** [LML] Re: electric attitude indicators
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Chatfield S. Daniel wrote:
> My post was not meant to predict the failure of these systems.  I spoke
> from a mathematic prospective of probability...you know combinations and
> permutations.  If the probability of one thing happening is 1% and the
> probability of another is also 1%, the probability of both happening is
> 1% X 1% or .01%.  Math is an exact science...usually.
>
>   
Math is ALWAYS an exact science, but application of math requires a bit 
more insight than multiplying two numbers.  No one is questioning your 
math, what people are questioning is your application of math.  You are 
applying the math of two INDEPENDENT and RANDOM events happening at the 
same time.  What I and others are pointing out are that the two events 
may not be completely independent of each other and there may be links 
that change the probability of the second event happening after the 
first one happens.

Regards,

Hamid