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Scott,
The reason for the turn at 1.5 miles
was threefold:
750' AGL (300' above a normal
glidepath)
210 KIAS (about 100 knots too
fast)
1900 fpm rate of descent
(around 1200 fpm higher than a normal descent rate)
That plane was coming down like a clean brick to
try to salvage an unsalvageable approach when at 1.5 miles, it became obvious
that a right 360 was needed to get down and slow down enough to land.
Apparently, the turn into the dark combined with an unarrested sink rate
resulted in flying into the water a little over halfway through the
turn.
Skip Slater
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