Mailing List flyrotary@lancaironline.net Message #31937
From: Ed Anderson <eanderson@carolina.rr.com>
Subject: Re: [FlyRotary] Safety margin assessment
Date: Wed, 24 May 2006 20:43:38 -0400
To: Rotary motors in aircraft <flyrotary@lancaironline.net>
Message
Why did I have a sneaky suspicion that there would not be any quick and easy solution to this challenge {:>).  Makes sense - without a statistical base of sufficient size of failures and their causes, numbers don't mean much.  It appears the next best approach is to make available the practices and approaches that appear to work with a high degree of success.  But, again, experimenters want to experiment, so I don't have high hope that the situation is going to change much. 
 
 
Ed
----- Original Message -----
From: Al Gietzen
Sent: Wednesday, May 24, 2006 6:01 PM
Subject: [FlyRotary] Safety margin assessment

 

I agree that other than a seat-of-the-pants feel that my subsystem's are robust (in the sense of avoiding failure), I have no quantitative measure of my system's "safety Margin". 

  

 Would certainly be interesting for everyone to take the 0-10 exam on their system and report the results of the assessment.  Perhaps we might find those above a 5 and give them some careful study.

 

The problem, of course, is that with a one-of-a-kind system ‘guessing’ at a number from 1 – 10 is not much  different than ‘guessing’ that your system is OK in regard to a given condition.  The only way to get a numerical rating is to have a large number of systems tested to failure for a number of different variables.

 

Al G

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