Mailing List flyrotary@lancaironline.net Message #23305
From: al p wick <alwick@juno.com>
Subject: risk reduction methods
Date: Tue, 7 Jun 2005 17:27:38 -0700
To: <flyrotary@lancaironline.net>
 
You guys ever have the experience of reading something that bugs you. You know, you start looking for flaws in the persons statements, stuff like that? Doesn't take long, you say "BULL!. I KNOW better". Pretty soon you just blow off the whole thing? If you feel that way, you will always be right. There's nothing to learn. If you're not feeling that way, please read on......
 
So I'll try one more time to explain one of the keys to success. Before I do, you need to take 3 valium, get a massage, then come back and read this........
When you have any theory, you need to find a way to convert that to facts. This is profound. You see, we don't do that naturally. We are very comfortable making decisions entirely based on theory. Theory are thoughts. Facts are numbers. We need to distinguish the two.
So I provided a great example of the Subaru timing chain defect. Can you find a way to convert those concepts to your aircraft? If you can, you are on the path.
Let's take a real world example. Your fuel delivery system. How do you know the distance between it and failure? Vapor lock failure is at one end of a curve. We want to be as far as possible from that end. How do you know that distance? Right now we use theory. We guess. We say: " Well, Bill hasn't had vapor lock and he's flown for 300 hours. Clearly that's the best path." If you have to guess, that is a good guess. But you don't have to guess. You can easily measure your safety margin. There are many simple tricks to measuring all of your safety margins. Not just this item. So I'm saying, put your skills into converting your best theory for fuel delivery, into how do I convert that idea to facts?
 
Of course, I'm assuming that there are users who are unable to install intank pumps. After all, those pumps do virtually eliminate all vapor lock risk. Perry did just that. Way to be Perry! You took action on a risk item, that may have killed one of our guys(speculation), and you totally eliminated that risk item. That is so friggin significant.
 
Ok, so you made it all the way to the bottom of this post. Take two more valium,  reread..........THEN FIRE AWAY!!!!!!!
 
 
-al wick
Artificial intelligence in cockpit, Cozy IV powered by stock Subaru 2.5
N9032U 200+ hours on engine/airframe from Portland, Oregon
Prop construct, Subaru install, Risk assessment, Glass panel design info:
http://www.maddyhome.com/canardpages/pages/alwick/index.html
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